IPhO 2013, Теория — Задача 3. The Greenlandic Ice Sheet

The Greenlandic Ice Sheet — T3 · 7 юли 2013 г. · 9 т.

Условие

Introduction

This problem deals with the physics of the Greenlandic ice sheet, the second largest glacier in the world, Fig. 3.1(a). As an idealization, Greenland is modeled as a rectangular island of width 2L2L and length 5L5L with the ground at sea level and completely covered by incompressible ice (constant density ρice\rho_\mathrm{ice}), see Fig. 3.1(b). The height profile H(x)H(x) of the ice sheet does not depend on the yy-coordinate and it increases from zero at the coasts x=±Lx = \pm L to a maximum height HmH_\mathrm{m} along the middle north-south axis (the yy-axis), known as the ice divide, see Fig. 3.1(c).

Three panels. (a) Map of Greenland: white ice sheet, green ice-free coastal regions, blue surrounding ocean. (b) Model: a green-outlined rectangle on blue background with x-axis marked −L, 0, L and y-axis from 0 to 5L. (c) Vertical cut: dome-shaped blue height profile over brown ground between blue ocean strips; z-axis at the centre with maximum height H_m, a red-dashed slab between x and x + Δx of height H(x), and the half-width L marked along the x-axis.
Figure 3.1 (a) A map of Greenland showing the extent of the ice sheet (white), the ice-free, coastal regions (green), and the surrounding ocean (blue). (b) The crude model of the Greenlandic ice sheet as covering a rectangular area in the xyxy-plane with side lengths 2L2L and 5L5L. The ice divide, the line of maximum ice sheet height HmH_\mathrm{m} runs along the yy-axis. (c) A vertical cut (xzxz-plane) through the ice sheet showing the height profile H(x)H(x) (blue line). H(x)H(x) is independent of the yy-coordinate for 0<y<5L0 < y < 5L, while it drops abruptly to zero at y=0y = 0 and y=5Ly = 5L. The zz-axis marks the position of the ice divide. For clarity, the vertical dimensions are expanded compared to the horizontal dimensions. The density ρice\rho_\mathrm{ice} of ice is constant.

Two useful formulas

In this problem you can make use of the integral:

∫011−x dx=23\int_0^1 \sqrt{1-x}\,\mathrm{d}x = \frac{2}{3}

and the approximation (1+x)a≈1+ax(1+x)^a \approx 1 + ax, valid for ∣ax∣≪1|ax| \ll 1.

The height profile of the ice sheet

On short time scales the glacier is an incompressible hydrostatic system with fixed height profile H(x)H(x).

3.1 Write down an expression for the pressure p(x,z)p(x,z) inside the ice sheet as a function of vertical height z above the ground and distance xx from the ice divide. Neglect the atmospheric pressure. [0,3 т.]

Consider a given vertical slab of the ice sheet in equilibrium, covering a small horizontal base area ΔxΔy\Delta x\Delta y between xx and x+Δxx + \Delta x, see the red dashed lines in Fig. 3.1(c). The size of Δy\Delta y does not matter. The net horizontal force component ΔF\Delta F on the two vertical sides of the slab, arising from the difference in height on the center-side versus the coastal-side of the slab, is balanced by a friction force ΔF=Sb ΔxΔy\Delta F = S_\mathrm{b}\,\Delta x\Delta y from the ground on the base area ΔxΔy\Delta x\Delta y, where Sb=100 kPaS_\mathrm{b} = 100\ \mathrm{kPa}.

3.2a For a given value of xx, show that in the limit Δx→0\Delta x \to 0, Sb=kH dH/dxS_\mathrm{b} = kH\,\mathrm{d}H/\mathrm{d}x, and determine k [0,9 т.]

3.2b Determine an expression for the height profile H(x)H(x) in terms of ρice\rho_\mathrm{ice}, gg, LL, SbS_\mathrm{b} and distance xx from the divide. The result will show, that the maximum glacier height HmH_\mathrm{m} scales with the half-width LL as Hm∝L1/2H_\mathrm{m} \propto L^{1/2}. [0,8 т.]

3.2c Determine the exponent γ\gamma with which the total volume ViceV_\mathrm{ice} of the ice sheet scales with the area AA of the rectangular island, Vice∝AγV_\mathrm{ice} \propto A^{\gamma}. [0,5 т.]

A dynamical ice sheet

On longer time scale, the ice is a viscous incompressible fluid, which by gravity flows from the center part to the coast. In this model, the ice maintains its height profile H(x)H(x) in a steady state, where accumulation of ice due to snow fall in the central region is balanced by melting at the coast. In addition to the ice sheet geometry of Fig. 3.1(b) and (c) make the following model assumptions:

  1. Ice flows in the xzxz-plane away from the ice divide (the yy-axis).
  2. The accumulation rate cc (m/year) in the central region is a constant.
  3. Ice can only leave the glacier by melting near the coasts at x=±Lx = \pm L.
  4. The horizontal (xx-)component vx(x)=dx/dtv_x(x) = \mathrm{d}x/\mathrm{d}t of the ice-flow velocity is independent of zz.
  5. The vertical (zz-)component vz(z)=dz/dtv_z(z) = \mathrm{d}z/\mathrm{d}t of the ice-flow velocity is independent of xx.

Consider only the central region ∣x∣≪L|x| \ll L close to the middle of the ice sheet, where height variations of the ice sheet are very small and can be neglected altogether, i.e. H(x)≈HmH(x) \approx H_\mathrm{m}.

3.3 Use mass conservation to find an expression for the horizontal ice-flow velocity vx(x)v_x(x) in terms of cc, xx, and HmH_\mathrm{m}. [0,6 т.]

From the assumption of incompressibility, i.e. the constant density ρice\rho_\mathrm{ice} of the ice, it follows that mass conservation implies the following restriction on the ice flow velocity components

dvxdx+dvzdz=0.\frac{dv_x}{dx} + \frac{dv_z}{dz} = 0.

3.4 Write down an expression for the zz dependence of the vertical component vz(z)v_z(z) of the ice-flow velocity. [0,6 т.]

A small ice particle with the initial surface position (xi,Hm)(x_i, H_\mathrm{m}) will, as time passes, flow as part of the ice sheet along a flow trajectory z(x)z(x) in the vertical xzxz-plane.

3.5 Derive an expression for such a flow trajectory z(x)z(x). [0,9 т.]

Age and climate indicators in the dynamical ice sheet

Based on the ice-flow velocity components vx(x)v_x(x) and vz(z)v_z(z), one can estimate the age τ(z)\tau(z) of the ice in a specific depth Hm−zH_\mathrm{m} - z from the surface of the ice sheet.

3.6 Find an expression for the age τ(z)\tau(z) of the ice as a function of height zz above ground, right at the ice divide x=0x = 0. [1 т.]

An ice core drilled in the interior of the Greenland ice sheet will penetrate through layers of snow from the past, and the ice core can be analyzed to reveal past climate changes. One of the best indicators is the so-called δ18O\delta^{18}\mathrm{O}, defined as

δ18O=Rice−RrefRref 1000 ‰,\delta^{18}\mathrm{O} = \frac{R_\mathrm{ice} - R_\mathrm{ref}}{R_\mathrm{ref}}\,1000\ \text{‰},

where R=[18O]/[16O]R = [{}^{18}\mathrm{O}]/[{}^{16}\mathrm{O}] denotes the relative abundance of the two stable isotopes 18O{}^{18}\mathrm{O} and 16O{}^{16}\mathrm{O} of oxygen. The reference RrefR_\mathrm{ref} is based on the isotopic composition of the oceans around Equator.

Two graphs. (a) Scatter plot of δ18O [‰] (vertical axis, −60 to 10) versus T [°C] (horizontal axis, −60 to 20), points lying roughly on a rising straight line; blue lines at δ18O = 0 and T = 0. (b) Noisy curve of δ18O [‰] (vertical axis, −48 to −30) versus H_m − z [m] (horizontal axis, 0 to 3000): about −35 down to roughly 1500 m, then an abrupt drop to values between about −46 and −38 down to about 3000 m, and a rise near the bottom; vertical blue lines at 1000, 2000 and about 3000 m.
Figure 3.2 (a) Observed relationship between δ18O\delta^{18}\mathrm{O} in snow versus the mean annual surface temperature TT. (b) Measurements of δ18O\delta^{18}\mathrm{O} versus depth Hm−zH_\mathrm{m} - z from the surface, taken from an ice core drilled from surface to bedrock at a specific place along the Greenlandic ice divide where Hm=3060H_\mathrm{m} = 3060 m.

Observations from the Greenland ice sheet show that δ18O\delta^{18}\mathrm{O} in the snow varies approximately linearly with temperature, Fig. 3.2(a). Assuming that this has always been the case, δ18O\delta^{18}\mathrm{O} retrieved from an ice core at depth Hm−zH_\mathrm{m} - z leads to an estimate of the temperature TT near Greenland at the age τ(z)\tau(z).

Measurements of δ18O\delta^{18}\mathrm{O} in a 3060 m long Greenlandic ice core show an abrupt change in δ18O\delta^{18}\mathrm{O} at a depth of 1492 m, Fig. 3.2(b), marking the end of the last ice age. The ice age began 120,000 years ago, corresponding to a depth of 3040 m, and the current interglacial age began 11,700 years ago, corresponding to a depth of 1492 m. Assume that these two periods can be described by two different accumulation rates, ciac_\mathrm{ia} (ice age) and cigc_\mathrm{ig} (interglacial age), respectively. You can assume HmH_\mathrm{m} to be constant throughout these 120,000 years.

3.7a Determine the accumulation rates ciac_\mathrm{ia} and cigc_\mathrm{ig}. [0,8 т.]

3.7b Use the data in Fig. 3.2 to find the temperature change at the transition from the ice age to the interglacial age. [0,2 т.]

Sea level rise from melting of the Greenland ice sheet

A complete melting of the Greenlandic ice sheet will cause a sea level rise in the global ocean. As a crude estimate of this sea level rise, one may simply consider a uniform rise throughout a global ocean with constant area AO=3.61×1014 m2A_\mathrm{O} = 3.61 \times 10^{14}\ \mathrm{m}^2.

3.8 Calculate the average global sea level rise, which would result from a complete melting of the Greenlandic ice sheet, given its present area of AG=1.71×1012 m2A_\mathrm{G} = 1.71 \times 10^{12}\,\mathrm{m}^2 and Sb=100 kPaS_\mathrm{b} = 100\ \mathrm{kPa}. [0,6 т.]

The massive Greenland ice sheet exerts a gravitational pull on the surrounding ocean. If the ice sheet melts, this local high tide is lost and the sea level will drop close to Greenland, an effect which partially counteracts the sea level rise calculated above.

To estimate the magnitude of this gravitational pull on the water, the Greenlandic ice sheet is now modeled as a point mass located at the ground level and having the total mass of the Greenlandic ice sheet. Copenhagen lies at a distance of 3500 km along the Earth surface from the center of the point mass. One may consider the Earth, without the point mass, to be spherically symmetric and having a global ocean spread out over the entire surface of the Earth of area AE=5.10×1014 m2A_\mathrm{E} = 5.10 \times 10^{14}\,\mathrm{m}^2. All effects of rotation of the Earth may be neglected.

3.9 Within this model, determine the difference hCPH−hOPPh_\mathrm{CPH} - h_\mathrm{OPP} between sea levels in Copenhagen (hCPHh_\mathrm{CPH}) and diametrically opposite to Greenland (hOPPh_\mathrm{OPP}). [1,8 т.]

Отговори

Решение


Оригинал в Архива: 3.pdf · официални решения: 3_sol.pdf